What are Beijing’s plans for Taiwan after Ukraine shock? ‘Two sessions’ may offer clues
Speculation about China initiating military action to reunify Taiwan has been ongoing, with some predicting a potential move as early as 2025. This timeline gained traction following a leaked US military memo from 2023, where a high-ranking Air Force general suggested that the US's distraction due to elections in both Taiwan and the US in 2024 could provide an opportunity for Beijing.
However, recent geopolitical developments, particularly in Ukraine, have introduced new uncertainties. With the possibility of reduced US support for Ukraine, the strategic landscape is shifting, potentially influencing China's calculations regarding Taiwan. The situation remains fluid, and any predictions should be viewed with caution given the complex interplay of factors at play.
via SCMP Full Text Feed
Speculation about China initiating military action to reunify Taiwan has been ongoing, with some predicting a potential move as early as 2025. This timeline gained traction following a leaked US military memo from 2023, where a high-ranking Air Force general suggested that the US's distraction due to elections in both Taiwan and the US in 2024 could provide an opportunity for Beijing.
However, recent geopolitical developments, particularly in Ukraine, have introduced new uncertainties. With the possibility of reduced US support for Ukraine, the strategic landscape is shifting, potentially influencing China's calculations regarding Taiwan. The situation remains fluid, and any predictions should be viewed with caution given the complex interplay of factors at play.
via SCMP Full Text Feed
